Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
P. Carreno-Busta vs D. Medvedev

Pablo Carreno-Busta

ESP

2

Win

Played

5

Win

Age

6'2" (188 cm)

Height

6'6" (198 cm)

123

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Title

YTD Titles

$10.7M

Career Money

$32.6M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

2

Win

Played

5

Win

Age

6'2" (188 cm)

Height

6'6" (198 cm)

123

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Title

YTD Titles

$10.7M

Career Money

$32.6M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Carreno-Busta 2 - 5 Medvedev

They have played 15 sets in total, with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 5 and Daniil Medvedev winning 10. The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno-Busta was at the Davis Cup, Finals, Group A, 28-11-2021, Round: Rubber 2, Surface: I.hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 6-2 7-6(3).

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Carreno-Busta	2
Medvedev	5

Last H2H Matches:

(Rubber 2) Davis Cup, Finals, Group A(11-28-21)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Pablo Carreno-Busta

(QF) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-20-21)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Pablo Carreno-Busta

(QF) Olympics - Tokyo(07-29-21)

Stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Daniil Medvedev

P. Carreno-Busta vs D. Medvedev H2H Profile

P. Carreno-Busta	Stats	D. Medvedev
$10,687,070	Career Prize Money	$32,554,540
63.32% (606-351)	Career Total W/L	70.33% (569-240)
0	Grass	1
2	Hard	1
0	Indoor	3
33	Titles	25
2	Total H2H Matches	5
38.10% (8-13)	YTD Win/Loss	61.54% (32-20)

P. Carreno-Busta vs D. Medvedev Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.86% of points on their second serve, while Daniil Medvedev has won 43.95%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Pablo Carreno-Busta, in recent form, has won 45.15% of their opponent's second serve points, while Daniil Medvedev has won 46.55%. The same stats for first serve returns are 27.23% and 25.54% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 54.18% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Daniil Medvedev has saved 57.77% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 58.73% of matches played (W/L 37/26), with Daniil Medvedev winning 58.62% (W/L 34/24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 355/186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14). Daniil Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 265/90), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 94/52).
Player level: In the last year, Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 75.76% of matches (W/L 25/8), where as Daniil Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 2 times and Daniil Medvedev being victorious 5 times. They have played 15 sets in total, with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 5 and Daniil Medvedev winning 10.
The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Daniil Medvedev was at the Davis Cup, Finals, Group A, 28-11-2021, Round: Rubber 2, Surface: I.hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 6-2 7-6(3).
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:21:22.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against opponents with an average rank of 181.38 while Daniil Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 54.28.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 42% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Daniil Medvedev has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 33.54% of breakpoint opportunities, and Daniil Medvedev has converted 36.14% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Daniil Medvedev Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

P. Carreno-Busta vs D. Medvedev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

P. Carreno-Busta	Stats	D. Medvedev
2	H2H Matches Won	5
5	Sets Won	10
57	Games Won	78
16	Aces (Total)	58
12	Total Double Faults	23
1:21:22	Average Match Time	1:21:22
72% (330/461)	1st Serve %	63% (241/383)
60% (199/330)	1st Serve Win %	81% (196/241)
47% (62/131)	2nd Serve Win %	45% (63/141)
43% (12/28)	Break Pts Won %	38% (23/61)
32% (124/383)	Return Points Win %	43% (200/461)
29% (2/7)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	71% (5/7)
0% (0/1)	Deciding Set Win %	100% (1/1)
67% (2/3)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (4/4)
33% (1/3)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/4)
0% (0/4)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	33% (1/3)

Recent Performance Stats

P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Villena Challenger - 29-09-2025
F Hugo GrenierH. Grenier	W	4-6 6-1 6-4	Stats
SF Petr BrunclikP. Brunclik	W	6-4 6-3	Stats
QF Martin LandaluceM. Landaluce	W	6-3 6-1	Stats
R2 Eliakim CoulibalyE. Coulibaly	W	6-4 6-3	Stats
R1 Dali BlanchD. Blanch	W	6-2 4-6 6-3	Stats

View All

D. Medvedev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai - 29-09-2025
R3 Alejandro Davidovich FokinaA. Davidovich	W	6-3 7-6(5)	Stats
R2 Dalibor SvrcinaD. Svrcina	W	6-1 6-1	Stats
China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025
SF Learner TienL. Tien	L	5-7 7-5 4-0 ret.	Stats
QF Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	W	6-3 6-3	Stats
R2 Alejandro Davidovich FokinaA. Davidovich	W	6-3 6-3	Stats

View All

P. Carreno-Busta vs D. Medvedev Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

P. Carreno-Busta	Stats	D. Medvedev
63.32% (606/351)	YTD Win/Loss	70.33% (569/240)
60.24% (1421/938)	Sets Win/Loss	65.98% (1336/689)
53.52% (12042/10459)	Games Win/Loss	55.61% (10769/8595)
65.10% (194/104)	Hard Win/Loss	74.65% (265/90)
65.62% (355/186)	Clay Win/Loss	64.38% (94/52)
52.04% (51/47)	Indoor Hard W/L	67.73% (149/71)
30.00% (6/14)	Grass Win/Loss	69.32% (61/27)
0.26	Aces Per Game	0.57
2843	Aces Total	5434
0.13	Double Faults Per Game	0.27
1376	Total Double Faults	2596
1:21:6	Average Match Time	1:34:14
482.07	Average Opponent Rank	336.18
64% (35538/55710)	1st Serve %	61% (32998/54191)
70% (24768/35538)	1st Serve Win %	75% (24723/32998)
52% (10461/20167)	2nd Serve Win %	51% (10795/21186)
42% (2285/5504)	Break Points Won % (Total)	43% (2414/5621)
39% (21974/56316)	Return Points Win %	40% (22404/56116)
59.41% (60/41)	Slam W/L	72.22% (91/35)
52.59% (71/64)	Masters W/L	67.60% (121/58)
55.00% (11/9)	Cups W/L	76.92% (20/6)
56.38% (168/130)	Main Tour W/L	71.80% (191/75)
0.00% (0/2)	Tour Finals W/L	52.17% (12/11)
70.67% (147/61)	Challenger W/L	68.75% (55/25)
77.01% (144/43)	Futures W/L	72.55% (74/28)
64% (537/841)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	71% (476/673)
59% (61/104)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	69% (88/127)
57% (204/361)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	57% (165/291)
55% (166/302)	Deciding Set Win %	61% (140/228)
86% (591/511)	1st Set Won, Won Match	90% (524/474)
13% (591/78)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	9% (524/49)
26% (364/93)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	33% (284/94)